Ottawa housing starts surge in February

by qangelikar 10. March 2010 13:30

  

BY BERT HILL, THE OTTAWA CITIZEN; WITH FILES FROM FINANCIAL POST

 

MARCH 9, 2010

Ottawa housing starts more than doubled in February as builders responded to strong market demand.

On Monday, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) said that work started on 304 units, up 122

per cent from 137 in February 2009 when builders and buyers were worried about the impact of the recession

and financial crisis.

For the first two months of the year, construction started on 675 units, up 23 per cent from a year ago but

trailing slightly behind 2008, which was a strong construction year.

"Ottawa's stable economy continues to support the housing market against a sluggish global economy," said

Sanra Pérez Torres, senior analyst at CMHC.

"Although the 23-per-cent increase in housing construction is significant, the 675 year-to-date starts match the

average since (2000)."

Construction of new single-family units drove the gains, rising 135 per cent to 148 units. Work started on 108

row housing units, up 58 per cent. There were smaller gains in apartment and semi-detached housing activity.

Builders were busiest in Cumberland and Gloucester where more than half the new construction took place.

"Even though prices are on the rise, homeownership in Ottawa remains within reach for many households as

mortgage rates remain low," said Pérez Torres.

Meanwhile, Canadian home construction rose by a more-than-expected 6.1 per cent to 196,700 units in

February, CMHC reported. That was up from 185,400 units in January and above economists' forecasts of

190,000 units for February.

"The gain in February housing starts was concentrated in the multiple starts segment, particularly in Toronto,"

said CMHC's chief economist Bob Dugan.

Urban housing starts were up nine per cent from January to 179,100 units on a seasonally adjusted basis, with

multiple units rising 19.1 per cent to 89,900 and single starts increasing 0.5 per cent to 89,200 units.

Ontario recorded a 28.6 per cent gain in February, while Atlantic Canada rose 14.3 per cent, the Prairie region

increased 10.8 per cent and British Columbia was up eight per cent. Meanwhile, Quebec saw housing starts

decline 14.1 per cent.

Ian Pollick, economics strategist at TD Securities, said February's gain shows "the new homes market is slowly

coming back to life...."

"However, we caution that the pace of advance will likely be hard pressed to eke out similar gains later in the

year, mainly as a result of enthusiastic buyers attempting to close transactions ahead of the regulatory (new

mortgage rules) and (harmonized sales) tax changes coming into effect mid-2010," he said.

© Copyright (c) The Ottawa Citizen

 

Analyst credits 'stable economy'; national starts up 6.1 per cent in month

 

 

 

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Canada's property market momentum continues

by qangelikar 10. March 2010 12:43

 

By SHARON SINGLETON, QMI AGENCY

March 8, 2010

 

Canada’s real estate market showed no sign of losing steam in February, with housing starts rising faster than expected

and a new survey showing 10% of Canadians expect to buy a home in the next two years.

Seasonally adjusted housing starts were 196,700 in the month, up from 185,400 in January, according to figures from the

Canadian Mortgage Housing Corp. That was above analysts’ forecasts for a 190,000 gain.

RBC’s 17th annual home ownership study found that the number of Canadians saying they are very likely to buy a new

home rose from 7% two years ago to 10%. The number of people who view their house as a good investment rose to a

12-year high of 91%.

Canada’s real estate market has been one of the main drivers of economic growth, with housing construction helping to

power a 5% expansion in gross domestic product in the fourth quarter.

Some economists have forecast that the property market will begin to cool from the second half, when the Bank of

Canada is expected to begin raising interest rates and demand and supply of available housing becomes more balanced.

“The gain in February housing starts was concentrated in the multiple starts segment, particularly in Toronto,” said Bob

Dugan, chief economist at CMHC’s Market Analysis Centre.

Urban multiple starts, or condos, increased by 19.1% to 89,900 units while single urban starts increased by 0.5% to

89,200 units.

Urban starts rose 28.6% in Ontario, 14.3% in Atlantic Canada, 10.8% in the Prairie region and 8% in British Columbia. In

Quebec, urban starts dropped 14.1%.

Rural starts were estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 17,600 units in February.

According to the RBC poll, younger Canadians between the ages of 18 to 24 are likely to lead the market. About 15% said

they were likely to buy, almost double the number in 2009.

About 60% also believe housing prices will continue to rise this year, up from just 25% this time a year ago. They also

expect mortgage rates to rise, with two-thirds expecting to have to pay more, the bank said.

That belief is being reflected in the choice of mortgage, with 16% opting for a variable rate loan compared with 20% last

year.

 

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